COVID-19: Corona Crisis and its Crucial Factors!

On April 1, the number of active cases in the country reached 6,10,927, up from 1,65,000 just a month ago.

Ankit Awasthi

Ankit AwasthiBy Ankit Awasthi

Published on 16 April 2021 1:39 PM GMT

COVID-19: Corona Crisis and its Crucial Factors!
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New Delhi: Corona is an ambushing enemy. In March 2020, it entered without a reasonable warning. In March 2021, when we felt that we were weighing heavily on the virus, we took off our masks, refused to keep a distance between ourselves, opened our offices, wedding venues, hotels, gyms, cinema halls and even swimming pools, when it attacked again and brutally reminded us that it had not yet gone at the end of the month, the number of infections or new cases rose to 7,000-8,000 by the end of the month from 1,000-2,000 new cases per day in early March.

Sudden spike in COVID Cases:

On April 1, the number of active cases in the country reached 6,10,927, up from 1,65,000 just a month ago, and on April 6, the country received 1,15,312 new cases within 24 hours, the largest since the outbreak of the epidemic.

Covid has been spreading manifold. States like Kerala, Maharashtra and Delhi have seen it happen at least twice, this is something the rest of the country had forgotten.

Experts say 'It's a simple MATH':

"It's a simple math," says Virologist T. Jacob John. If one person is infected with another, there is a new case in a day. But when two people and two people feel transitioned, there are two new cases, then four, then eight and so on."

It is known as fertility number or 'R' value and is the main determinant of the epidemic. Cases are lower when R price is below 1. R price in the country on April 6 was 1.3, while just two weeks ago it was 1.2. The second wave came very fast and was helped by the laxity in reining in rising transition rates locally.

Situation worse in Uttar Pradesh:

The situation is worse in different states—Uttar Pradesh and Chhattisgarh have an R value of 1.6, while in Delhi, which is facing the fourth wave of infection, it is 1.5. The figures of all these states are at the highest level since the outbreak of the epidemic. Maharashtra's R price is 1.2 this week. Virologists and doctors consider r value far higher than the number of active cases to be a time of danger.

Know doctors' advice:

Dr Naresh Han, chairman of Medanta Hospital in Gurugram, says, "Covid infection takes a few days to spread to the body. So those who were infected yesterday will appear in the figures after a few days." In other words, those who suffered infection before the government machinery came into action in April are yet to be counted in covid cases, Virologists and doctors consider it a time of danger. "Covid infection takes a few days to spread to the body," says Dr Naresh, chairman of Medanta Hospital in Gurugram.

Pandemic is not over yet:

So those who were infected yesterday will appear in the figures after a few days." In other words, those who suffered infection before the government machinery came into action in April are yet to be counted in covid cases, "We're moving from bad to worse," says NITI Aayog member Dr. B.K. Paul, "Covid is still active and will attack right when we feel we have overcome it.

When the figures were coming down, no state should have been satisfied, because the pandemic was not over." He believes that the entire country is now at risk, despite the 84 per cent cases coming from only eight states: Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Karnataka, Kerala, Punjab, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh.

Take precautions and stay safe:

If we do not maintain vigilance, we will never break the chain of infections, masks, distance and hand cleaning must remain, The other wave of covid in the country is that the country is battling not one but four different forms of the early Chinese virus (D614G). "Every new person it infects is likely to change the virus's new look," says Dr Rakesh Mishra, director of the Hyderabad-based Centre for Cellular and Molecular Biology.

These changes are almost as minor mistakes when the virus begins to capture the cell to produce its copy. It forces you to choose the same pieces of its genetic code that help it survive. In most cases, its appearance does not have much effect, but sometimes they help the virus become more contagious, avoid immunity, and aggravate the disease. Then they become new forms."

Over 7k new forms of virus:

So far 7,000 new forms of the virus have been recorded in the country. But a strain, seen in December last year, has been particularly successful in preparing its copy. It has been found in about 20 percent (about 206) out of 1,600 cases in Maharashtra. This number may seem small, but the reality is that this strain is spreading faster than its predecessors.

This is because it has two altered forms in the pointed protein that make it easier to reach the human cell. Its 'escape' or E484Q form resembles South African and Brazilian strains and helps to escape the previously formed anti-body. On the other hand, the L452R form of this virus has similar features to California, making it more contagious. The same changed form has become the dominant virus since November 2020.

Concerned authorities are monitoring the strain, but global health institutions such as the WHO (World Health Organization) or (Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, USA) have not yet termed it as a "worrying virus." Something like this is because these two altered forms have been found in 43 other forms of Covid-19. But this 'interesting form' is certainly because its changed form can overtake the earlier anti-body born against the early Chinese form caused by infection or vaccination.

Vaccination is big task:

It is a matter of little concern for the campaign to vaccinate in India. Especially when the first dose of one of the Covishield or Covaxin vaccines has been given to 75 million people and the second dose to more than 10 million people.

Noted cardiologist and former IMA (Indian Medical Association) Director Dr. K.K. "The E484Q form is extremely worrying because it not only helps the virus enter the cell easily, but also helps in preventing immunity," says Agarwal. If this form spreads, it means that we have moved from where we left in terms of all the immunity, we achieved last year." Indeed, its Brazilian form, which is similar

Death rate is also increasing:

The country recorded 713 deaths on April 2, the highest in a day this year. If about 100 deaths were taking place daily in March due to covid, the figure reached 400 in the first few days of April. Experts say that in view of the increase in infection cases, deaths are bound to increase, but the percentage or death rate (CFR) in total cases is the same. In fact, our 1.3 percent CFR this month is lower than 1.5 percent last month. However, in Maharashtra (1.5) and Punjab (1.8), the two states with the highest number of cases, the CFR is much higher than the national average. Yet there is no conclusive evidence of linking it to new forms.

Dr Srinath Reddy, chairman of the Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI), says the virus may be more contagious by changing its attitude, but it is not very deadly. Dr Vivek Nangia Tasdik, a pulmonologist at Covid Ward at Max Hospital in Saket, says, "It's still the same virus and still has the same symptoms. The infection is spreading, we are getting more cases now, but this virus is not very deadly, the growth of the disease and the clinical care is still the same." But doctors do say that hospitals are not crowded and more people are recovering, it doesn't mean that this viral infection is less deadly, Vashi "Covid cannot be taken lightly," says Dr. Farah Ingle, an internal medical expert at Covid Ward in Fortis, Navi Mumbai. Mild infection can also cause serious complications, and it's private and human prices are also very hefty.

Ankit Awasthi

Ankit Awasthi

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