COVID third wave unlikely to hit India if no new variant emerges: Experts
After the havoc of Delta variant earlier this year, no new variant of the new corona virus has been encountered in the country so far.
New Delhi: The second wave of corona is under control, but the threat of the third remains constant. Amidst the possibilities of a third wave, leading public health experts say that if there is no new variant of corona now, then the third wave will also not come in the country. Experts said that the chances of India getting hit by the third wave are now slim. And a major drop in the available data reinforces this possibility, at least for now.
No new covid variant, no third wave:
This possibility has been raised by experts who have given the SUTRA Model to Track the Progress of covid-19 in India. After the havoc of Delta earlier this year, no new variant of the new corona virus has been encountered in the country so far.
Experts believe that a wave comes when there is a huge surge in an infectious disease. India has so far faced two waves the first one started in August to September 2020 and the second one started in March this year.
According to Professor Manindra Agrawal of IIT, Kanpur, 'If there is no fast spreading mutant, then even the third wave should not hit the country. Pro. Aggarwal and two other experts have written the Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (Positive) and Removed Approach (SUTRA) model to track the progress of COVID-19 in India.
Can the third wave of corona be avoided?
Agarwal says that if there is no new variant, there will be no third wave. If the Delta variant remains and no new variant has come, then understand that we are winning this battle against Corona. At the same time, on the deteriorating situation in Kerala, he said that the country has almost controlled Corona, as soon as it is controlled in Kerala, the country will be able to control it. In the next one month, cases in Kerala will also come under control.
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